Friday Money: pitcher data does the talking

Five plays tonight. Every single one is built off a 2026 pitcher matchup that is not even close.

Free pick: Mariners ML at Cardinals Bryan Woo has earned a 4.21 ERA / 1.21 WHIP across 87 IP. Matthew Liberatore is sitting at 5.97 / 1.73 over 34 IP. He is a back-end arm, not an ace bouncing back. The Mariners get a clean pitching edge as road favorite. Tail at any short price.

Starter: Reds ML vs Tigers Brady Singer (4.06 / 1.17) at home against Jack Flaherty (6.33 / 1.55). The WHIP gap is the tell. Singer keeps runners off, Flaherty puts them on. Hitter-friendly park, Reds host, Reds win.